MRO Magazine

Annual Sales of Light Duty Vehicles Are Expected to Exceed 122 Million by 2035, According to Navigant Research


July 6, 2015
By Business Wire News

BOULDER, Colo.

A new report from Navigant Research analyzes the market for light duty vehicles (LDVs) in eight segments, including global forecasts for sales and the number of vehicles in use, segmented by region, drivetrain, and primary fuel, through 2035.

More than 95 percent of the world’s 1.2 billion vehicles belong to the LDV segment, most of which relies on conventional internal combustion engines (ICE) powered by either gasoline or diesel. In the long term, factors such as new transportation business models for LDVs and increased urbanization are expected to put downward pressure on sales, particularly as governments push initiatives for improved fuel economy, new transportation options, and alternatives fuel vehicles (AFVs). Click to tweet: According to a new report from Navigant Research, global annual LDV sales are expected to grow from 88.8 million vehicles in 2015 to 122.6 million in 2035.

“LDV sales are expected to increase, with growth concentrated in developing countries in Asia Pacific and with stop-start systems projected to grow most significantly as a strategy to comply with international fuel efficiency standards,” says Scott Shepard, research analyst with Navigant Research. “LDVs primarily fueled by gasoline are expected to fall as a percentage of the overall global fleet from 82% in 2015 to less than 71% in 2035, particularly as diesel, electricity, and other alternative fuels become more price competitive and their respective infrastructure becomes more available.”

Much of the transformation occurring in the LDV landscape is due to society’s consumption of oil, according to the report. While most governments have categorically supported a comprehensive strategy to reduce oil dependency in the transportation sector, the depth of that support varies with each vehicle technology, regional fuel costs, and refueling infrastructure availability, which all play a major role in consumer acceptance of alternative fuels.

The report, Transportation Forecast: Light Duty Vehicles, analyzes the global LDV market in eight segments: stop-start vehicles (SSVs), hybrid electric vehicles (HEVs), plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs), battery electric vehicles (BEVs), NGVs, fuel cell vehicles (FCVs), propane autogas vehicles (PAGVs) and conventional internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles. Since SSV, HEV, PHEV, and ICE vehicle segmentations are either solely or partially fueled by blends of gasoline or diesel, forecasts of these segments are broken out by fuel (as well as by region). Global market forecasts for sales and the number of vehicles in use, segmented by country, drivetrain, and primary fuel, extend through 2035. An Executive Summary of the report is available for free download on the Navigant Research website.

About Navigant Research

Navigant Research, the dedicated research arm of Navigant, provides market research and benchmarking services for rapidly changing and often highly regulated industries. In the energy sector, Navigant Research focuses on in-depth analysis and reporting about global clean technology markets. The team’s research methodology combines supply-side industry analysis, end-user primary research and demand assessment, and deep examination of technology trends to provide a comprehensive view of the Smart Energy, Smart Utilities, Smart Transportation, and Smart Buildings sectors. Additional information about Navigant Research can be found at www.navigantresearch.com.

About Navigant

Navigant is a specialized, global professional services firm dedicated to assisting clients in creating and protecting value in the face of critical business risks and opportunities. Through senior level engagement with clients, Navigant professionals deliver expert and advisory work through implementation and business process management services. The firm combines deep technical expertise in Disputes and Investigations, Economics, Financial Advisory and Management Consulting, with business pragmatism to address clients’ needs in highly regulated industries, including Construction, Energy, Financial Services and Healthcare. More information about Navigant can be found at navigant.com.

* The information contained in this press release concerning the report, Transportation Forecast: Light Duty Vehicles, is a summary and reflects Navigant Research’s current expectations based on market data and trend analysis. Market predictions and expectations are inherently uncertain and actual results may differ materially from those contained in this press release or the report. Please refer to the full report for a complete understanding of the assumptions underlying the report’s conclusions and the methodologies used to create the report. Neither Navigant Research nor Navigant undertakes any obligation to update any of the information contained in this press release or the report.

Navigant Research
Ellie Stutts, +1-202-973-3249
ellie.stutts@navigant.com
or
Megan Maupin, +1-312-583-5703
megan.maupin@navigant.com