Canadian manufacturing sector remains on shaky ground, says TD economist
June 21, 2018
June 21, 2018
Ottawa – Canadian manufacturing sales unexpectedly fell in April as sales in the petroleum and coal products and transportation equipment industries dropped.
Statistics Canada said factory sales dropped 1.3 per cent to $56.2 billion in April, following two consecutive monthly increases.
Economists had expected an increase of 0.6 per cent, according to Thomson Reuters Eikon.
Manufacturing sales in volume terms fell 1.9 per cent.
TD Bank senior economist Michael Dolega said, on the whole, the Canadian manufacturing sector remains on shaky ground.
“Not only did sales pull back significantly, contrary to expectations, the decline was not at all a price story,” Dolega wrote in a report.
“In fact, volumes were far more disappointing than shipments measured in current dollar terms which effectively wiped out the March gain.”
Statistics Canada said sales fell in 10 of 21 industries, representing 49.6 per cent of the manufacturing sector.
Sales in the petroleum and coal products industry fell 10.9 per cent to $5.2 billion on lower sales volumes as the sector was hit by partial shutdowns at a number of Canadian refineries for maintenance work during the month.
Transportation equipment sales fell 2.3 per cent to $10.9 billion in April, largely due to weaker sales of other transportation equipment.
Dolega noted that the weakness was highly concentrated, both geographically and sectorally.
“Moreover, it appears to be largely related to temporary shutdowns related to refinery maintenance and a return to normal levels after a one-off shipment of armoured vehicles to the Middle East,” he wrote.
“Taken together, these facts offer hope that the May/June numbers will see a bounce-back as shipments rebound as activity is restarted.”
Excluding the petroleum and coal products and transportation equipment industries, manufacturing sales rose 0.4 per cent.
Sales were up in 11 industries with the largest increases in the primary metal manufacturing and food products industries.
Regionally, sales were down in six provinces, led by Quebec and Alberta.
Quebec sales fell 3.4 per cent to $13.3 billion, while Alberta saw sales fell 5.3 per cent. Saskatchewan posted the largest monthly increase in April as sales rose 6.7 per cent.