MRO Magazine

2011 Employment Outlook Survey reveals a hopeful hiring climate for first quarter

Toronto, ON -- Canadian employers expect a hopeful hiring climate for the first quarter of 2011, according to the latest results of the Manpower Employment Outlook Survey, a forward-looking employment survey.


Human Resources

December 15, 2010
By MRO Magazine

Toronto, ON — Canadian employers expect a hopeful hiring climate for the first quarter of 2011, according to the latest results of the Manpower Employment Outlook Survey, a forward-looking employment survey.

With seasonal variations taken into account, the Outlook of 14% is on par with the Outlook reported in the previous quarter. This Outlook also shows a three percentage point improvement from the same time in 2009, when employers reported a seasonally adjusted Net Employment Outlook of 11%.

The survey of more than 1,900 Canadian employers reveals that 16% plan to increase their payrolls in the first quarter of 2011, while 11% anticipate cutbacks. Of those surveyed, 72% of employers expect to maintain their current staffing levels and 1% are unsure of their hiring intentions for the upcoming quarter.

“The upcoming quarter’s Net Employment Outlook indicates that the hiring climate remains favourable, particularly in the Wholesale & Retail Trade sector,” says Lori Procher, vice-president and general manager of Manpower Canada. “Employers are telling us that they plan to hire at a similar pace as three months ago. Meanwhile, employers in eight of the 10 industry sectors we track anticipate stronger hiring activity than in early 2010.”

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Among the 10 surveyed industry sectors, employers in Wholesale & Retail Trade and Transportation & Public Utilities report the strongest results for the first quarter of 2011 with projected Net Employment Outlooks of 17% and 16% respectively, once seasonal variations are removed from the survey data. This is followed by Finance, Insurance & Real Estate industry, where employers report a Net Employment Outlook of 14%.

Reporting a Net Employment Outlook of 13%, employers in the Manufacturing-Durable Goods sector anticipate a respectable hiring climate for the upcoming quarter. This forecast is an eight percentage point drop from the Outlook projected during the previous quarter. However, it is a moderate improvement from the same time last year when industry employers reported an Outlook of five%.

With a Net Employment Outlook of 10%, employers in the Manufacturing-Non-Durables sector expect a fair hiring climate for the first quarter of 2011. This quarter’s Outlook is a slight decrease from the previous quarter when industry employers reported an Outlook of 14%. It is also a five percentage point improvement from the same time last year.

In Mining, employers report a Net Employment Outlook of 12% for the first quarter of 2011. This is a 12 percentage point drop from the previous quarter. However, it is a slight improvement from the Outlook of 10% reported during the same time last year.

Construction employers anticipate a respectable hiring environment for the first quarter of 2011, reporting a Net Employment Outlook of 11%. This is a slight drop from the previous quarter, when employers reported an Outlook of 13%. However, it is also a three percentage point improvement from a year ago.

REGIONAL HIRING INTENTIONS FAVOURABLE

“Regionally, employers in Western and Atlantic Canada anticipate the most favourable hiring climates,” added Procher. “The seasonally adjusted data indicates employers in Western Canada have positive hiring intentions for the coming quarter, reporting a Net Employment Outlook of 16%. The upbeat forecast for this region is due in part to the strong hiring forecast reported by employers in the mining industry sector, which includes energy production.

“In Atlantic Canada, employers anticipate a respectable hiring environment for the upcoming quarter, reporting a Net Employment Outlook of 13%.

“Meanwhile, employers in Ontario expect a hopeful hiring climate with an Outlook of 12%, and Quebec area employers anticipate a fair first quarter reporting a Net Employment Outlook of 7%.