MRO Magazine

Employment outlook survey reveals a modest hiring climate for the second quarter of 2009

Toronto, ON -- Canadian employers expect only modest opportunities for job seekers for the April to June period of ...


Human Resources

March 12, 2009
By MRO Magazine

Toronto, ON — Canadian employers expect only modest opportunities for job seekers for the April to June period of 2009, according to the latest results of the Manpower Employment Outlook Survey.

 

The survey of more than 1,900 Canadian employers reveals that 15% expect to increase their payrolls in the second quarter of 2009, while 9% anticipate cutbacks for a Net Employment Outlook of 6%. Of those polled, 73% of employers plan to maintain their current workforce and 3% are unsure of their hiring intentions for the upcoming quarter.

 

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With seasonal variations removed from the survey data, the Net Employment Outlook drops to a reserved 1%, indicating a quiet hiring climate for the second quarter of 2009. This quarter’s forecast is 17 percentage points weaker than in the previous quarter when the seasonally adjusted Net Employment Outlook was 18%.

 

“This quarter’s Net Employment Outlook indicates that the employer hiring confidence reported in the previous quarter has decreased,” says Lori Rogers, vice-president of perations for Manpower Canada. “Canadian employers are telling us that while they will continue to increase their payrolls, they will do so at a more cautious pace than in the previous quarters.”

 

“In Atlantic and Western Canada the hiring forecasts are ahead of the national forecast,” adds Rogers. Employers in Atlantic Canada report a hopeful hiring climate with a Net Employment Outlook of 19%, while employers in Western Canada expect a fair hiring climate with a Net Employment Outlook of 8%. Employers in Quebec anticipate a mild hiring climate, reporting a Net Employment Outlook of 3% and with a Net Employment of 1% Ontario employers predict a quiet hiring climate for the upcoming quarter.

 

Of the 10 surveyed industry sectors, employers in the Services sector report the most hopeful results for the April to June period of 2009 with a projected Net Employment Outlook of 11% once seasonal variations are removed from the data. Employers in the Public Administration and Construction sectors expect a moderate quarter both with Net Employment Outlooks of 10%.

 

Mining

 

In the Mining sector, employers report a seasonally adjusted Net Employment Outlook of 8%. This is an 11 percentage point decrease from the same time last year and a five percentage point drop from the first quarter of 2008 when employers reported a seasonally adjusted Net Employment Outlook of 13%. Despite this decline, employers project a moderate hiring pace for the upcoming quarter.

 

Wholesale and Retail Trade

 

Reporting a seasonally adjusted Net Employment Outlook of 3% employers in the Wholesale and Retail Trade sector anticipate an unstable hiring climate for the upcoming quarter. This is a 14 percentage point decrease from the same time last year and a further 31 percentage point decline from the previous quarter.

 

Manufacturing Non-Durable Goods

 

With a seasonally adjusted Net Employment Outlook of minus 5%, employers in the Manufacturing Non-Durable Goods sector anticipate a slow hiring climate for the upcoming quarter. This is a five percentage point decrease from the flat hiring pace reported at the same time last year and a further decrease from the previous quarter when the seasonally adjusted Net Employment Outlook was 13%.

 

Manufacturing Durable Goods

 

In the Manufacturing Durable Goods sector employers report a seasonally adjusted Net Employment Outlook of minus 9%. This is a decrease from the same time last year when employers reported a Net Employment Outlook of 8% and a further 18 percentage point decline from the moderate outlook re
ported in the previous quarter.