MRO Magazine

Employment Outlook Survey predicts a steady hiring climate for the first quarter of 2007

Toronto, ON -- Canadian employers expect a moderate but steady hiring climate for the January to March period of 20...


Human Resources

January 4, 2007
By MRO Magazine

Toronto, ON — Canadian employers expect a moderate but steady hiring climate for the January to March period of 2007 according to the latest results of the Manpower Employment Outlook Survey.

The survey of more than 1,700 Canadian employers reveals that 17% plan to increase their payrolls while 14% anticipate cutbacks for a Net Employment Outlook of +3%. Of those polled, 67% expect no changes and 2% are unsure of their staffing intentions.

With seasonal variations removed from the survey data, the Net Employment Outlook of +18% is three percentage points weaker from the previous quarter; however, it is relatively stable compared to the same time last year, indicating a positive beginning to the staffing picture for 2007.

“This quarter’s Net Employment Outlook indicates a slightly weaker but steady hiring forecast for the start of the year,” said Lori Rogers, vice-president and general manager for Manpower Canada. “However, the first quarter of the year is normally characterized by a restrictive hiring climate.”

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“The hiring climate in Western Canada is ahead of the national forecast,” Rogers adds. “Employers in Western Canada report an active hiring climate with a Net Employment Outlook of +25%. Quebec employers anticipate a moderate hiring climate with a Net Employment Outlook of +4%, while employers in Ontario suggest mixed intentions with a Net Employment Outlook of -2%. Atlantic Canada employers trail the other regions with a reported Net Employment Outlook of -12%.”

Of the 10 surveyed industry sectors, Mining employers report the most prosperous results for the January to March period of 2007 with a Net Employment Outlook of +36%, once seasonal variations are removed. Employers in the Public Administration and Services sectors anticipate a healthy quarter with both reporting Net Employment Outlooks of +26%. Employers in the Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sector also anticipate an optimistic first quarter, reporting a Net Employment Outlook of +21%.

CONSTRUCTION

Employers in the Construction sector plan a steady hiring pace with a seasonally adjusted Net Employment Outlook of +14%. This is 24-percentage points weaker from the previous quarter, and four-percentage points weaker compared to this time last year when the Net Employment Outlook was +18%.

EDUCATION

Education sector employers predict an upbeat first quarter with a seasonally adjusted Net Employment Outlook of +17%. This is 10-percentage points weaker from the previous quarter; however, it is an improvement of nine-percentage points compared to the same period last year.

FINANCE, INSURANCE & REAL ESTATE

Employers in the Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sector project an active hiring climate with a seasonally adjusted Net Employment Outlook of +21%. This Net Employment Outlook is down three-percentage points from the previous quarter; however it isan improvement of four-percentage points compared to the same time last year.

MANUFACTURING DURABLE GOODS

A cautiously optimistic three-month period is anticipated by employers in the Manufacturing Durable Goods sector, where a Net Employment Outlook of +9% is reported, once seasonal variations are removed. This Net Employment Outlook is three-percentage points weaker than the previous quarter. It is, however, a three-percentage point improvement from the same time last year when the Net Employment Outlook was +6%.

MANUFACTURING NON-DURABLE GOODS

Manufacturing Non-durable Goods sector employers project a conservative hiring climate with a seasonally adjusted Net Employment Outlook of +8%. This is down five-percentage points from the previous quarter and it is also five-percentage points weaker than the Net Employment Outlook reported during this time last year.

MINING

Employers in the Mining sector anticipate a booming first quarter with a Net Employment Outlook of +36% after seasonal variations are removed. Hiring plans in Mining improved by 16-percentage points from the previous quarter.

PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION

Public Administration sector employers predict an active hiring climate with a Net Employment Outlook of 26%. Hiring expectations have diminished slightly compared to last quarter with a one-percentage point decrease. This is, however, a slight improvement of three-percentage points, compared to the same time last year.

SERVICES

Employers in the Services sector expect a solid hiring climate for the upcoming quarter with a seasonally adjusted Net Employment Outlook of +26%. This is an improvement of two-percentage points from the previous quarter and is comparable to the same time last year when the Net Employment Outlook was also +26%.

TRANSPORTATION & PUBLIC UTILITIES

Employers in the Transportation & Public Utilities sector predict a respectable hiring climate with a seasonally adjusted Net Employment Outlook of +17%. This is six-percentage points weaker compared to the previous quarter and is comparable to the same time last year when the Net Employment Outlook was also +17%.

WHOLESALE & RETAIL TRADES

Employers in the Wholesale & Retail Trade sector project a healthy staffing picture for the first quarter of 2007 with a Net Employment Outlook of +20%. Results for the sector weakened by three-percentage points from the previous quarter; however, this is an improvement of two-percentage points from the same time last year.

ABOUT THE SURVEY

The Manpower Employment Outlook Survey is conducted quarterly to measure employers’ intentions to increase or decrease the number of employees in their workforce during the next quarter. The Manpower Employment Outlook Survey is the most extensive, forward-looking survey in the world, asking employers to forecast employment over the next quarter. The survey has been running for more than 40 years and is one of the most trusted surveys of employment activity in the world. The Manpower Employment Outlook Survey in Canada is based on interviews with more than 1,700 public and private employers in 43 markets across the country and is considered a highly respected economic indicator. The margin of error for the Canadian survey is +/- 2.4%.